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THURSDAY'S FREE PICK


I'm on a 516-478-21 roll with comp plays the past 581 days despite Wednesday's loser on Furman. 


Not much to choose from tonight so I'll head to the NBA and back my pal LeBron and his "delicate" Cavaliers (-5') at Chicago.


Only nine games left in the regular season but Cleveland is tied with Boston for first in the Eastern Conference standings thanks to the Celtics' lame effort at home in a loss to the suddenly hot Bucks last night.


Can the Cavs snap a four-game losing streak against Chicago tonight?


Can they cover the spread?


They better, because time is running out.


Defense - or lack thereof - has been Cleveland's biggest problem.


According to stats from NBA.com, the Cavs' starting five is minus-26 points per 100 possessions over the past five games.


Gee, you think that's why they lost 103-74 at San Antonio on Monday?


According to Kenpom.com the Cavs for the season are ranked 22nd in the league in defensive efficiency - which is points allowed per 100 possessions - at 110.5.


To give you an idea of how telling that stat is, these are the teams behind Cleveland: Portland, Brooklyn, Sacramento, Minnesota, New York, Phoenix, Denver, LA Lakers.


See many playoff contenders among them?


Kyrie Irving has been getting torched by opposing point guards and its affecting his offense.


LeBron - and Irving - have been playing big minutes while K-Love and J.R. Smith haven't gotten their mojo back since returning from injuries. 


Kyle Korver is still out and that affects the second-unit efficiency.


And, yet, I still like the Cavs tonight because it's put up or shut up time and this price is cheap because of their recent struggles. Plus, it doesn't hurt that the Bulls have dropped nine of their last 13.

 


 

10 of 15 Winning Football Seasons

(NFL & College Combined)

 


 
212-166-13 NFL Roll
past five years combined
  
(FYI - 99% of my plays are rated between 5 and 15 dimes)
 

 
10-4
with highest rated 30 Dime NFL releases
past five years combined

Most Recent Release

1/18/15 - Seattle/New England Teaser - Winner
 

 
103-74-7 Run
with NFL 15 Dimers past six seasons


 

Biggest NBA Plays Since 2009

 

15 Dime Releases

 

88-66-3 Record

 


Payment Types

5 Dime Release

Georgia Tech vs. TCU

Winning Day # 30 of 51

Buy Now Buy Now $65
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner # 29 of 46 - and 15 of 22 in college (and fourth in four days) - was not to be last night as Coast Carolina got hammered at Wyoming. That's what happens when the team you back shoots 31.3 percent, hits only 5-of-26 three-pointers and gets outrebounded by nine. All-around lousy pick after cashing with 15 Dimers Tuesday with Georgia Tech (-2') by 15 over Cal-State Bakersfield, Monday on Coast Carolina (+1) by 10 over Wyoming in Game One of the CBI Finals and Sunday with a 15 Dimer on Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (+1') in a 16-point blowout of Fort Wayne in the College Insider Tournament.

Back to the NIT tonight for a 5 Dime play on the championship game between Georgia Tech and TCU for Winning Day # 30 of 51 overall. Like the game, but not enough to raise the rating or my investment on it.

As for the comp plays, I'm on a 516-479-21 roll the past 583 days after taking a chance - and losing - with Furman last night. 

Discount packages

1 YEAR OF SERVICE (365 Days)
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Every Play - Every Sport - For 365 Days

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100 DAYS OF SERVICE
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All of my Action for 100 Days

 

Nothing held back!

 

$149 Instant Rebate Available for Current Package Players

 

2-Part Payment Plan Available at Time of Purchase

60 DAYS OF SERVICE
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60 Days of Non-Stop Action

Every Play - No Exception

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Every Play I've Got for 30 Days

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$50 Instant Rebate Available for Current Package Players
7 DAYS OF SERVICE
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7 Days of Action - Every Play - Every Sport

UPGRADE DISCOUNTS
 
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an Instant Rebate is Available on Qualifying Purchases
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INSTANT REBATE AMOUNTS
 
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All Sports Included - Nothing Further to Buy!


(Any "Guarantee" applying to Guaranteed Plays

and Resulting Free Service is NOT included)


Mathew Parker, Sean Michaels

Jeff Benton, Matt Rivers,

Dom Chambers (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays everyday


Upgrade From One Package To Another at Anytime

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Al DeMarco's Rating System

Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.

 

I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.

 

I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.

 

Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.

 

And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:

 

Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig

 

Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.

 

A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.

 

Let me explain further...

 

Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.

 

Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers).  You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.

 

Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.

 

This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.

 

Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.

 

Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?

 

Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.

Today's Complimentary Selection

Watch my Daily Video for my complimentary selection backed my in-depth analysis. It's Free and available by 2:00 P.M. Eastern on Weekdays and 10:00 A.M. Eastern on Weekends.

Free Pick Video
 
1 Day of Access $99
7 Days of Access $449
30 Days $999

All Sports Included - Nothing Further to Buy!


(Any "Guarantee" applying to Guaranteed Plays

and Resulting Free Service is NOT included)


Mathew Parker, Sean Michaels

Jeff Benton, Matt Rivers,

Dom Chambers (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays everyday


Upgrade From One Package To Another at Anytime

Instant Rebates Available Upon Upgrades!


Help Charity Play of the Week Discount Picks
Time Teams Score Stat Open Hilton Grande Carib CRIS Coast
NBA Thursday, March 30th
7:35 PM 701 Brooklyn
702 Detroit
     
 
214
-6½
213½
-6
212½
-6½
213½
-6½-05
213
-6½
8:00 PM 703 Cleveland
704 Chicago
    -5
211
-5½
210½
-5
210½
-5½
210½
-5
211
-5½
211½
8:05 PM 705 La Lakers
706 Minnesota
    218
-10½-15
218½
-11
218
-10½
218½
-10½
218
-10½-15
218
-11
10:05 PM 707 La Clippers
708 Phoenix
    -9½-05
220
-10
220
-9½
220
-9½
220
-9½-05
220
-10
219½
10:30 PM 709 Houston
710 Portland
    231½
pk
231½
-1
231½
-1
231
pk
231½
pk
-1
230½
NBA Friday, March 31st
7:05 PM 501 Denver
502 Charlotte
    221½
-1-21
 
 
 
 
 
 
220½
-1½
 
 
7:05 PM 503 Indiana
504 Toronto
    207
-6
 
 
 
 
 
 
207
-6
 
 
7:35 PM 505 Philadelphia
506 Cleveland
    219
-10½
 
 
 
 
 
 
219
-10½
 
 
7:35 PM 507 Orlando
508 Boston
    217½
-11
 
 
 
 
 
 
217½
-11
 
 
8:05 PM 509 New York
510 Miami
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8:05 PM 511 Detroit
512 Milwaukee
    200
-8½
 
 
 
 
 
 
200½
-9½
 
 
8:05 PM 513 Dallas
514 Memphis
    192
-5½
 
 
 
 
 
 
192
-4½
 
 
8:05 PM 515 Sacramento
516 New Orleans
    205½
-9½
 
 
 
 
 
 
207
-10½
 
 
9:05 PM 517 Washington
518 Utah
     
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8:05 PM 519 San Antonio
520 Oklahoma City
    -1
209
 
 
 
 
 
 
-1
208½
 
 
10:35 PM 521 Houston
522 Golden State
    231
-7
 
 
 
 
 
 
231
-8
 
 
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