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Bowling Green at AKRON (-2')

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

Thursday I hit Conference USA game between La Tech and North Texas going over. Friday I nailed the Sun Belt game between Louisiana and Appalachian State staying under.

Both 300♦ Winners.

Combined, they pale in comparison to what I have for you today.
 
I'm raising the bar with an ultra-rare Double Your Wager 2000♦ College Football Game of the Year between BYU and Coastal Carolina.

BYU is a lot different that Liberty, which Coastal Carolina was gearing up for. The Chanticleers offer a different brand of defense BYU has seen. It's intriguing non-conference game that bring out the best in both teams.

Question is, do the Chanticleers have enough on offense to keep up with BYU?

My answer is inside this package, with my biggest release of the season.

BIGGEST RELEASE OF THE SEASON

39th Ever
2000♦
Double Your Wager
College Football Release in 38 Years

BYU - Coastal Carolina
Kickoff 5:30 pm eastern

TWICE AS STRONG as my 1000♦ NFC Game of the Year
Eagles covering vs. Seattle on Monday

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

MUCH STRONGER than my 300♦ College FB Winner # 7 of 8
Louisiana-Appalachian State Under on Friday

MUCH STRONGER than my 300♦ College FB Winner # 6 of 7
Louisiana Tech-North Texas Over on Thursday

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

18-7 Roll with 2000♦ Double Your Wager plays in College Hoops
- this play is just as strong -

27-15 Roll with 2000♦ Double Your Wager plays in the NBA
- this play is just as strong -

$1 Bettors are ahead $152,105
with plays 1,000♦ or higher since 2006

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

A pair of Mid-American doormats play Saturday, and leave it to me to find some value within the Bowling Green-Akron clash. Both teams are at the bottom of the MAC's East Division, each sitting at 0-4, but the Zips have more bang for your buck in this game.

Akron has lost to Western Michigan, Ohio, Kent State and Miami (OH). Not one of those teams has a losing record, and combined they have an 11-3 mark.

Bowling Green's losses have come at the hands of Toledo, Kent State, Buffalo and Ohio. About the same strength, with those four opponents sporting an 11-4 mark collectively.

So I went to the two common opponents: Ohio and Kent State, the latter of which has the No. 1 offense in the nation, being the only team to generate more than 600 yards per game.

Akron was outscored 93-45 to those two opponents, and actually held Ohio to just 24 points on Nov. 10. Of the Bobcats' three games, that was their lowest scoring output, having scored 27 at Central Michigan and 52 against Bowling Green.

The Falcons lost 52-10 to Ohio and 62-24 to Kent State - a whopping difference of 114-34. Bowling Green's defense is horrific, to go along with a stagnant offense.

Out of 127 teams, the Falcons rank 125th, 126th or 127th in nine statistical categories, including Total Defense, Rushing Defense, Scoring Defense and Turnover Margin.

Akron might not be much better on paper, but its competitive level is far better than Bowling Green's, and its knack for controlling the clock with the 41st-ranked time of possession will help get its first win.

The Zips' offense converts red zone trips into scores 88.9% of the time, 32nd in the country, and they'll be venturing into Bowling Green territory often.

Lay the small number. And be aware, as I always insist with football favorites in this range, we're buying the half point. So if this game is in between -2.5 and -4.5 points, I want you purchasing the half point down.

4* AKRON



Fresno State at NEVADA (-6')

By Gus Augustine, Featured Handicapper


- - -

My Complimentary Winner... I'm 0-3 with my premium plays, but have hit three straight freebies for you, with Alabama over UNLV on Tuesday, Michigan over Ball State on Wednesday, and Southern Utah over Montana on Thursday.

My free pick for Saturday's college football card is on the Nevada Wolf Pack laying the points to the Fresno State Bulldogs.

Nevada had its undefeated mark ruined last week against Hawai'i in what was a bit of a shock to me, as I thought for sure the Wolf Pack would be undefeated heading into the final two games of the season. Instead, the Rainbow Warriors lost 24-21.

Nevada will take its aggression out on a Fresno State team that doesn't have an impressive string of wins in my eyes, with wins over Colorado State, UNLV and Utah State since losing the season-opener to Hawai'i. This easily will be the best team Fresno State has faced all season.

On paper, the Bulldogs look good in outgaining their opponents by 50 yards per game. But when you consider the records of the teams they've played, is that really impressive?

Nevada's passing game is impeccable connecting on 70.9% of its pass attempts. The Wolf Pack are outdistancing its opponents by 125 yards per game, and average 6.6 yards per play.

If you haven't seen Carson Strong play, keep an eye on this kid. He is actually completing 71.3% (171 of 240) of his passes with an 8.2 yards per attempt, and 9.2 air yards per attempt. His TD-to-INT ratio is 16-to-2.

On the other hand, Fresno State's quarterback, Jake Haener, could struggle against the Pack's defensive secondary. Haener has thrown just 9 TDs and been picked off 4 times.

Look for Nevada to dominate on both sides of the ball in its home finale. Lay the points, and please be aware, when I see a football point spread between -6 and -7.5, I'm going to buying the half point down and I suggest you do the same. This game falls in that range.

4* NEVADA